机构:国泰君安国际
研究员:Vincent Liu
We expect 2022 revenue from online games, Youdao, Cloud Music and innovative businesses and others to increase by 12.1%, -3.2%, 41.2% and 6.2%, respectively. We expect online games to outperform in 2022, considering gradual recovery of the domestic market due to resumption of license approval, upcoming new flagship titles and strong PC games billings. We expect growth of Cloud Music to be supported by increasing number of paying users and which we expect will improve NetEase’s overall growth and profitability. We expect the influence from after-school tutoring business to fade and Youdao to resume higher growth.
We maintain our investment rating as "Buy" but decrease our target price to HK$190.00. We expect non-GAAP shareholders’ net profit in 2022-2024 to be RMB20,339 million, RMB24,288 million and RMB27,039 million, respectively, representing yoy growth of 2.9%, 19.4% and 11.3%. Our target price represents 26.2x, 22.3x and 20.2x 2022-2024 non-GAAP PER.